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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Wolfsburg

WOL

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsburg50%
Draw25%
VfL Osnabrück26%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.24

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

56%Possession40%
35%Territory32%
31%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.1%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.