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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

Karlsruher SC

KAR

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Karlsruher SC36%
Draw25%
FC Heidenheim39%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.60

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–17.3%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

49%Possession40%
40%Territory30%
43%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.17
6.0%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.