2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Magdeburg
MAG
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Magdeburg52%
Draw24%
Karlsruher SC24%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.24
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession49%
36%Territory40%
26%From set plays43%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Magdeburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.