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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Wolfsburg

WOL

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsburg41%
Draw25%
FC Heidenheim33%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.46

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

56%Possession40%
35%Territory30%
31%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.17
5.1%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.