Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
RB Leipzig
RBL
Werder Bremen
SVW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig55%
Draw24%
Werder Bremen21%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.13
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession49%
31%Territory34%
24%From set plays24%
0.17Chance quality0.14
3.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Leipzig, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.