Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
RB Leipzig
RBL
Werder Bremen
SVW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig63%
Draw22%
Werder Bremen15%
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.85
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.5%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.
61%Possession43%
51%Territory34%
31%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Leipzig, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.