Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Schalke 04
SCH
Werder Bremen
SVW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0440%
Draw29%
Werder Bremen31%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.14
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Werder Bremen will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
34%Possession43%
28%Territory34%
25%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.