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Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

Schalke 04

SCH

Werder Bremen

SVW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Schalke 0422%
Draw28%
Werder Bremen50%

Expected goals

0.92 – 1.47

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.9%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 0–29.4%
  • 1–29.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Schalke 04 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession49%
37%Territory34%
60%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.14
4.2%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Schalke 04

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.