Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Werder Bremen
SVW
Union Berlin
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Werder Bremen52%
Draw27%
Union Berlin21%
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.89
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Werder Bremen will have the ball; Union Berlin will not mind.
49%Possession36%
34%Territory33%
24%From set plays48%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.6%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Werder Bremen, 3 for Union Berlin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.