Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Bayern München
BAY
Werder Bremen
SVW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München78%
Draw15%
Werder Bremen7%
Expected goals
2.52 – 0.70
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 3–010.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.
71%Possession43%
59%Territory34%
14%From set plays32%
0.14Chance quality0.07
4.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bayern München, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.