Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Bayern München
BAY
Werder Bremen
SVW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München71%
Draw18%
Werder Bremen11%
Expected goals
2.36 – 0.88
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 3–08.3%
- 1–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.
58%Possession49%
43%Territory34%
16%From set plays24%
0.16Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bayern München, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.