Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Werder Bremen
SVW
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Werder Bremen22%
Draw26%
Leverkusen52%
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.59
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.7%
- 1–111.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–29.4%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.
43%Possession65%
34%Territory51%
32%From set plays35%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Werder Bremen, 3 for Leverkusen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.