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Bundesliga · Matchweek 12

Eintracht Frankfurt

SGE

Werder Bremen

SVW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frankfurt50%
Draw27%
Werder Bremen23%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.01

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.4%
  • 1112.1%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.9%
  • 008.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Frankfurt will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.

52%Possession43%
41%Territory34%
27%From set plays32%
0.14Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.