Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Werder Bremen
SVW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frankfurt39%
Draw29%
Werder Bremen33%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.22
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession49%
37%Territory34%
17%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frankfurt
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.