Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
Werder Bremen
SVW
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Werder Bremen49%
Draw27%
M'gladbach24%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.05
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Werder Bremen will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
49%Possession40%
34%Territory26%
24%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Werder Bremen, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.