Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Werder Bremen
SVW
Hamburger SV
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Werder Bremen56%
Draw25%
Hamburger SV18%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.88
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Werder Bremen will have the ball; Hamburger SV will not mind.
49%Possession40%
34%Territory32%
24%From set plays46%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Werder Bremen, 3 for Hamburger SV. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.