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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Werder Bremen

SVW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfB Stuttgart54%
Draw25%
Werder Bremen21%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.04

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.2%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.

52%Possession43%
42%Territory34%
27%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.