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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Werder Bremen

SVW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfB Stuttgart46%
Draw25%
Werder Bremen29%

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.31

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.

58%Possession49%
45%Territory34%
31%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3 for Werder Bremen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.