Bundesliga · Matchweek 8
Werder Bremen
SVW
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Werder Bremen30%
Draw28%
Hoffenheim42%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.40
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hoffenheim will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.
43%Possession54%
34%Territory45%
32%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Werder Bremen, 3 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.