Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Werder Bremen
SVW
Paderborn
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Werder Bremen43%
Draw30%
Paderborn27%
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.96
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.9%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.0%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Paderborn will have the ball; Werder Bremen will not mind.
43%Possession51%
34%Territory30%
32%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.06
5.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Werder Bremen, 3 for Paderborn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paderborn
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.