Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
Werder Bremen
SVW
Augsburg
AUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Werder Bremen37%
Draw29%
Augsburg35%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.25
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Werder Bremen get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession42%
34%Territory32%
32%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Werder Bremen, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.