LaLiga · Matchweek 26
Athletic Club
ATH
Barcelona
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Athletic Club26%
Draw25%
Barcelona49%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.4%
- 2–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Athletic Club will not mind.
56%Possession69%
44%Territory52%
18%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.16
6.4%Directness2.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Athletic Club, 3 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.