LaLiga · Matchweek 25
Athletic Club
ATH
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Athletic Club44%
Draw31%
Celta Vigo25%
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.90
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.9%
- 0–013.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–110.4%
- 2–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Athletic Club will have the ball; Celta Vigo will not mind.
56%Possession46%
44%Territory36%
18%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Athletic Club, 3 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.