LaLiga · Matchweek 22
Sevilla
SEV
Athletic Club
ATH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sevilla29%
Draw30%
Athletic Club41%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.29
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–112.8%
- 0–010.9%
- 1–010.1%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Athletic Club will have the ball; Sevilla will not mind.
44%Possession56%
41%Territory44%
26%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sevilla, 4 for Athletic Club. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.