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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 21

Athletic Club

ATH

Levante

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Athletic Club53%
Draw26%
Levante21%

Expected goals

1.64 – 0.97

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.6%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Athletic Club will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

56%Possession44%
44%Territory34%
18%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Athletic Club, 4 for Levante.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.