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LaLiga · Matchweek 20

Getafe

GET

Athletic Club

ATH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Getafe25%
Draw34%
Athletic Club41%

Expected goals

0.79 – 1.07

Over 2.5

29%

Both to score

37%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–017.2%
  • 0–116.7%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 0–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Athletic Club will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

39%Possession56%
38%Territory44%
21%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.12
10.1%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Getafe, 4 for Athletic Club. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.