LaLiga · Matchweek 18
Racing Santander
RAC
Athletic Club
ATH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Racing Santander21%
Draw25%
Athletic Club54%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.75
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.1%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession56%
43%Territory44%
30%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.12
1.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Santander, 4 for Athletic Club. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Racing Santander
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.