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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 17

Athletic Club

ATH

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Athletic Club43%
Draw27%
Real Betis30%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.26

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Betis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession54%
37%Territory45%
17%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Athletic Club, 4 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.