LaLiga · Matchweek 16
Deportivo A Coruña
DEP
Athletic Club
ATH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Deportivo A Coruña35%
Draw30%
Athletic Club35%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.22
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession56%
44%Territory44%
25%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Deportivo A Coruña, 4 for Athletic Club. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo A Coruña
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.