LaLiga · Matchweek 12
Osasuna
OSA
Athletic Club
ATH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Osasuna41%
Draw30%
Athletic Club30%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.07
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession56%
31%Territory44%
51%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.12
9.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Osasuna, 4 for Athletic Club. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Osasuna
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.