LaLiga · Matchweek 11
Athletic Club
ATH
Real Sociedad
RSO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Athletic Club52%
Draw26%
Real Sociedad22%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.02
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Real Sociedad get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession50%
37%Territory42%
17%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.06
4.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Athletic Club, 4 for Real Sociedad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Sociedad
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.