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LaLiga · Matchweek 10

Athletic Club

ATH

Getafe

GET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Athletic Club52%
Draw31%
Getafe18%

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.65

Over 2.5

31%

Both to score

36%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1018.8%
  • 0015.6%
  • 1112.0%
  • 2011.3%
  • 019.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Athletic Club will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

50%Possession37%
37%Territory40%
17%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.05
4.3%Directness9.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Athletic Club, 4 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.