LaLiga · Matchweek 7
Athletic Club
ATH
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Athletic Club47%
Draw28%
Deportivo Alavés25%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.02
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Athletic Club will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.
50%Possession40%
37%Territory39%
17%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Athletic Club, 4 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.