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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 6

Levante

LEV

Athletic Club

ATH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante33%
Draw27%
Athletic Club41%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.53

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Athletic Club will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

34%Possession50%
29%Territory37%
18%From set plays17%
0.14Chance quality0.13
7.1%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levante, 3 for Athletic Club. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.