Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
Salzburg
SAL
Grazer AK
GRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg75%
Draw16%
Grazer AK9%
Expected goals
2.54 – 0.85
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.1%
- 3–09.1%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salzburg will have the ball; Grazer AK will not mind.
60%Possession46%
36%Territory34%
25%From set plays47%
0.17Chance quality0.10
3.6%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for Grazer AK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.