Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Rapid Wien
RAP
Salzburg
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rapid Wien41%
Draw27%
Salzburg33%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.36
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salzburg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession60%
39%Territory36%
7%From set plays25%
0.20Chance quality0.17
5.1%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rapid Wien, 3 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.