Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Salzburg

SAL

WSG Tirol

WSG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Salzburg46%
Draw27%
WSG Tirol27%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.17

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 2–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

WSG Tirol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

63%Possession55%
44%Territory34%
4%From set plays47%
0.13Chance quality0.14
3.8%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.