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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Salzburg

SAL

WSG Tirol

WSG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Salzburg66%
Draw21%
WSG Tirol14%

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.88

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–011.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Salzburg will have the ball; WSG Tirol will not mind.

60%Possession51%
36%Territory34%
25%From set plays18%
0.17Chance quality0.08
3.6%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for WSG Tirol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.