Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Salzburg
SAL
Ried
RIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg58%
Draw23%
Ried19%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.04
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.5%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession46%
44%Territory35%
4%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 2 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salzburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.