Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Salzburg
SAL
Ried
RIE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg63%
Draw21%
Ried16%
Expected goals
2.09 – 0.99
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.3%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salzburg will have the ball; Ried will not mind.
60%Possession48%
36%Territory38%
25%From set plays16%
0.17Chance quality0.16
3.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for Ried. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.