Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Austria Lustenau
AUS
Salzburg
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Lustenau11%
Draw17%
Salzburg73%
Expected goals
0.93 – 2.53
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–38.3%
- 1–37.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Salzburg will have the ball; Austria Lustenau will not mind.
37%Possession60%
33%Territory36%
8%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.17
6.6%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Lustenau, 3 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.