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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

Salzburg

SAL

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Salzburg62%
Draw22%
Wolfsberger AC15%

Expected goals

1.93 – 0.88

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.2%
  • 2–011.2%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Salzburg will have the ball; Wolfsberger AC will not mind.

63%Possession31%
44%Territory28%
4%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.05
3.8%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for Wolfsberger AC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.