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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

Salzburg

SAL

Wolfsberger AC

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Salzburg68%
Draw20%
Wolfsberger AC12%

Expected goals

2.10 – 0.78

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.4%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 3–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Salzburg will have the ball; Wolfsberger AC will not mind.

60%Possession42%
36%Territory33%
25%From set plays31%
0.17Chance quality0.08
3.6%Directness9.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for Wolfsberger AC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.