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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Altach

ALT

Salzburg

SAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Altach20%
Draw26%
Salzburg54%

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.62

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.2%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 0–210.0%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Salzburg will have the ball; Altach will not mind.

44%Possession60%
39%Territory36%
26%From set plays25%
0.06Chance quality0.17
8.4%Directness3.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Altach, 3 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.