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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Altach

ALT

Salzburg

SAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Altach26%
Draw27%
Salzburg47%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.51

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 0111.9%
  • 129.3%
  • 008.6%
  • 028.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession63%
33%Territory44%
27%From set plays4%
0.06Chance quality0.13
7.0%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Altach, 3 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.