Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Salzburg
SAL
LASK
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg52%
Draw24%
LASK24%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.19
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–08.0%
- 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession55%
36%Territory46%
25%From set plays29%
0.17Chance quality0.12
3.6%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.