Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Salzburg
SAL
LASK
LAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Salzburg41%
Draw26%
LASK33%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.41
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
LASK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
63%Possession66%
44%Territory54%
4%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 3 for LASK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Salzburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.