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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Austria Wien

AUS

Salzburg

SAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Austria Wien28%
Draw27%
Salzburg45%

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.51

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Salzburg will have the ball; Austria Wien will not mind.

47%Possession63%
35%Territory44%
31%From set plays4%
0.09Chance quality0.13
7.3%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 3 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.