Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Austria Wien
AUT
Salzburg
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Austria Wien20%
Draw24%
Salzburg56%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.87
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.1%
- 1–36.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession60%
38%Territory36%
31%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.17
5.6%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Austria Wien, 3 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 66 matches, not the full season.