Skip to content

Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

LASK

LAS

Salzburg

SAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

LASK45%
Draw25%
Salzburg29%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.33

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 219.2%
  • 108.8%
  • 127.1%
  • 016.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

LASK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

66%Possession63%
54%Territory44%
30%From set plays4%
0.12Chance quality0.13
7.3%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for LASK, 3 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.