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Austrian Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Salzburg

SAL

Altach

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Salzburg59%
Draw24%
Altach17%

Expected goals

1.80 – 0.90

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.7%
  • 1110.9%
  • 2010.7%
  • 219.8%
  • 007.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

63%Possession52%
44%Territory33%
4%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.06
3.8%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Salzburg, 2 for Altach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 36 matches, not the full season.