League Two · Matchweek 13
York City
YOR
Port Vale
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
York City56%
Draw23%
Port Vale20%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.09
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Port Vale will not mind.
64%Possession49%
33%Territory35%
29%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.11
4.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for York City, 3 for Port Vale. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.