League Two · Matchweek 12
York City
YOR
Accrington Stanley
ACC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
York City57%
Draw21%
Accrington22%
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.32
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–07.2%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
York City will have the ball; Accrington will not mind.
64%Possession40%
33%Territory31%
29%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.16
4.5%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for York City, 3 for Accrington. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 72 matches, not the full season.