League One · Matchweek 18
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Bromley
BRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Plymouth69%
Draw18%
Bromley12%
Expected goals
2.30 – 0.90
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.9%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession34%
33%Territory40%
44%From set plays47%
0.12Chance quality0.07
8.7%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Plymouth, 4 for Bromley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.