League One · Matchweek 18
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Bromley
BRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Plymouth63%
Draw21%
Bromley16%
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.98
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.3%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.6%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
39%Possession40%
44%Territory43%
31%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.08
9.0%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Plymouth, 3 for Bromley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.