League One · Matchweek 17
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wigan35%
Draw26%
Plymouth39%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.53
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wigan will have the ball; Plymouth will not mind.
49%Possession39%
35%Territory44%
32%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wigan, 3 for Plymouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.