League One · Matchweek 17
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wigan27%
Draw27%
Plymouth46%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.57
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession42%
28%Territory33%
23%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.1%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wigan, 2 for Plymouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.