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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 17

Stockport County

STO

Leyton Orient

LEY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Stockport County68%
Draw18%
Leyton Orient14%

Expected goals

2.48 – 1.12

Over 2.5

69%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Stockport County will have the ball; Leyton Orient will not mind.

69%Possession52%
39%Territory28%
13%From set plays40%
0.16Chance quality0.12
4.1%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Stockport County, 3 for Leyton Orient. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.