League One · Matchweek 16
Leyton Orient
LEY
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leyton Orient47%
Draw27%
Wimbledon26%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.08
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.4%
- 2–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leyton Orient will have the ball; Wimbledon will not mind.
54%Possession46%
34%Territory37%
38%From set plays44%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 5 for Wimbledon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.