League One · Matchweek 16
Leyton Orient
LEY
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leyton Orient61%
Draw22%
Wimbledon18%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.06
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leyton Orient will have the ball; Wimbledon will not mind.
52%Possession40%
28%Territory34%
40%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 3 for Wimbledon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.