League One · Matchweek 15
Sheffield Wednesday
SHE
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Wed29%
Draw27%
Plymouth44%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.55
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.8%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession42%
39%Territory33%
31%From set plays42%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness8.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Wed, 2 for Plymouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sheff Wed
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.