League One · Matchweek 15
Sheffield Wednesday
SHE
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Wed35%
Draw26%
Plymouth40%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.58
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sheff Wed will have the ball; Plymouth will not mind.
52%Possession39%
34%Territory44%
17%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sheff Wed, 3 for Plymouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.