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League One · Matchweek 15

Doncaster Rovers

DON

Leyton Orient

LEY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Doncaster27%
Draw23%
Leyton Orient50%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.98

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.6%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–17.0%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leyton Orient will have the ball; Doncaster will not mind.

42%Possession52%
27%Territory28%
36%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Doncaster, 3 for Leyton Orient. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.