League One · Matchweek 14
Stockport County
STO
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stockport County61%
Draw22%
Wimbledon17%
Expected goals
1.96 – 0.96
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.2%
- 2–010.3%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stockport County will have the ball; Wimbledon will not mind.
54%Possession46%
31%Territory37%
36%From set plays44%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stockport County, 5 for Wimbledon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.