League One · Matchweek 14
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Reading
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Plymouth39%
Draw26%
Reading35%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.50
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Reading will have the ball; Plymouth will not mind.
39%Possession48%
44%Territory29%
31%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.15
9.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Plymouth, 3 for Reading. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.